Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 0-3 Neman Grodno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒15:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
3.75
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
49%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.68
Over 2.5
40%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.63
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
17%
4.1
6+ Goals
8%
20.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.63 — our 34% vs market 30.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
23%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
23%
-2.7pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.3pp
49%
Away Win
50%
-1.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.4pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Neman Grodno EU Bookmakers 55%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +10%
1.21/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/0.92
+8% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +6%
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
251 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 399 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
0W-1D-4L
AWAY Neman Grodno
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
06.10.2024 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 0-4 HT 0-3 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno BLR
16.05.2024 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno 1-0 HT 0-0 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk BLR
02.10.2022 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 1-1 HT 0-0 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno BLR
30.07.2022 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno 2-1 HT 1-0 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk BLRK
15.05.2022 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno 2-0 HT 1-0 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
0-3
AWAY Neman Grodno
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk vs Neman Grodno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neman Grodno swept aside Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Neman Grodno as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk had 51% of the ball to Neman Grodno's 49%, shots finished 10-12.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Neman Grodno led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk and 2.00 for Neman Grodno.

What was the final score of Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk vs Neman Grodno?

Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 0-3 Neman Grodno in the Belarus - Premier League on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk vs Neman Grodno?

Before kick-off our model rated an Neman Grodno win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 20%, draw 31%, Neman Grodno 49%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Neman Grodno), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Neman Grodno) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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