Dinamo Minsk 2-1 BATE Borisov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
22%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.6
Over 2.5
48%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.29
No
56%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.38
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
4.61
6+ Goals
8%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
59%
-4.8pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.1pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+5.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
59%
-6.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
41%
+6.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.7pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Minsk EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY BATE Borisov EU Bookmakers 19%
-3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.55/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.45/0.55
-20% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -56% / +150%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
299 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Minsk
4W-0D-2L
AWAY BATE Borisov
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.11.2024 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk 1-0 HT 1-0 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov BLR
29.06.2024 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov 0-2 HT 0-1 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk BLR
10.03.2024 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk 2-3 HT 0-1 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov BLRK
06.03.2024 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov 0-1 HT 0-0 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk BLRK
02.11.2023 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk 0-1 HT 0-0 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov BLR
15.04.2023 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov 1-3 HT 0-0 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Minsk
2-1
AWAY BATE Borisov
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dinamo Minsk vs BATE Borisov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Minsk edged past BATE Borisov 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dinamo Minsk as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dinamo Minsk had 46% of the ball to BATE Borisov's 54%, shots finished 9-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Minsk had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Dinamo Minsk and 0.83 for BATE Borisov.

What was the final score of Dinamo Minsk vs BATE Borisov?

Dinamo Minsk 2-1 BATE Borisov in the Belarus - Premier League on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Minsk vs BATE Borisov?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Minsk win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Minsk 55%, draw 24%, BATE Borisov 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Minsk) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Minsk) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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