Dinamo Minsk 1-0 BATE Borisov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 25 Nov 2024

📅25/11/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.42
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
22%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.4
No
54%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.93
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
4.08
6+ Goals
11%
18.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
67%
-12.6pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.5pp
22%
Away Win
12%
+10.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
38%
+8.1pp
54%
BTTS No
62%
-8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Minsk EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY BATE Borisov EU Bookmakers 14%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.58/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.45/0.55
-15% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / +150%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
372 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Minsk
3W-1D-2L
AWAY BATE Borisov
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
29.06.2024 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov 0-2 HT 0-1 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk BLR
10.03.2024 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk 2-3 HT 0-1 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov BLRK
06.03.2024 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov 0-1 HT 0-0 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk BLRK
02.11.2023 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk 0-1 HT 0-0 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov BLR
15.04.2023 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov 1-3 HT 0-0 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk BLR
10.09.2022 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov 0-0 HT 0-0 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Minsk
1-0
AWAY BATE Borisov
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dinamo Minsk vs BATE Borisov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Minsk squeezed past BATE Borisov 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Dinamo Minsk as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Dinamo Minsk had 55% of the ball to BATE Borisov's 45%, shots finished 18-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Minsk had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Dinamo Minsk and 0.83 for BATE Borisov.

What was the final score of Dinamo Minsk vs BATE Borisov?

Dinamo Minsk 1-0 BATE Borisov in the Belarus - Premier League on 25/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Minsk vs BATE Borisov?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Minsk win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Minsk 54%, draw 24%, BATE Borisov 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Minsk), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Minsk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →