BATE Borisov 0-2 Dinamo Minsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 29 Jun 2024

📅29/06/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.5
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
47%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.1
Over 2.5
49%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.07
2-3 Goals
39%
1.85
4-5 Goals
22%
3.08
6+ Goals
10%
9.82
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.07 — our 29% vs market 19.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
25%
+1.9pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.8pp
47%
Away Win
51%
-4.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.3pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BATE Borisov EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Minsk EU Bookmakers 56%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +8%
1.32/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.01
+20% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -3%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
281 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BATE Borisov
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Dinamo Minsk
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.03.2024 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk 2-3 HT 0-1 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov BLRK
06.03.2024 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov 0-1 HT 0-0 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk BLRK
02.11.2023 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk 0-1 HT 0-0 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov BLR
15.04.2023 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov 1-3 HT 0-0 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk BLR
10.09.2022 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov 0-0 HT 0-0 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk BLR
02.05.2022 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk 2-2 HT 0-0 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BATE Borisov
0-2
AWAY Dinamo Minsk
54% Ball Possession 46%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH BATE Borisov vs Dinamo Minsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Minsk got the better of BATE Borisov 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Dinamo Minsk as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, BATE Borisov had 54% of the ball to Dinamo Minsk's 46%, shots finished 7-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for BATE Borisov and 1.33 for Dinamo Minsk.

What was the final score of BATE Borisov vs Dinamo Minsk?

BATE Borisov 0-2 Dinamo Minsk in the Belarus - Premier League on 29/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BATE Borisov vs Dinamo Minsk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dinamo Minsk win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split BATE Borisov 27%, draw 27%, Dinamo Minsk 47%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Minsk), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Minsk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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