PSG 2-1 Le Havre — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 19 Apr 2025

PSG
2-1 HT 1-0
Le Havre
📅19/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✓
France - Ligue 1 – 2024/2025

PSG vs Le Havre Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.18
Draw
18%
6.26
Away
15%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
3.59
Over 2.5
67%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
8.63
2-3 Goals
36%
2.43
4-5 Goals
31%
2.33
6+ Goals
17%
3.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1.32
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
7%
24.2
X/1
19%
4.15
X/2
7%
27.0
X/X
5%
12.1
2/1
7%
18.85
2/2
4%
20.7
2/X
6%
28.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
79%
-12.8pp
19%
Draw
12%
+6.0pp
15%
Away Win
8%
+6.9pp
33%
Under 2.5
24%
+8.5pp
67%
Over 2.5
76%
-8.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.5pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

PSG v Le Havre — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSG EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Le Havre EU Bookmakers 11%
-5% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +12%
2.41/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.88
+11% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +10%
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
472 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 80%
35.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
15.9 Crosses 14.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8

PSG vs Le Havre Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSG
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Le Havre
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.23 xG 1.09
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
589 Passes 300
88% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.08.2024 Le Havre Le Havre 1-4 HT 0-1 PSG PSG FR1
27.04.2024 PSG PSG 3-3 HT 1-2 Le Havre Le Havre FR1
03.12.2023 Le Havre Le Havre 0-2 HT 0-1 PSG PSG FR1
19.04.2009 PSG PSG 3-0 HT 1-0 Le Havre Le Havre FR1
15.11.2008 Le Havre Le Havre 1-3 HT 0-2 PSG PSG FR1
15.01.2003 PSG PSG 1-0 HT 1-0 Le Havre Le Havre FR1

PSG 2-1 Le Havre — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSG
2-1
AWAY Le Havre
3.14 xG 0.50
70% Ball Possession 30%
18 Total Shots 9
11 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 3
733 Passes 258
93% Pass Accuracy 82%
35 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 19
POST-MATCH PSG vs Le Havre
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSG squeezed past Le Havre 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had PSG as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (67%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, PSG had 70% of the ball to Le Havre's 30%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 3.14 to 0.50 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold PSG's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSG had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for PSG and 0.83 for Le Havre.

What was the final score of PSG vs Le Havre?

PSG 2-1 Le Havre in the France - Ligue 1 on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSG vs Le Havre?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSG win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split PSG 67%, draw 19%, Le Havre 15%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSG), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (PSG) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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