Hong Kong FC 1-4 Hong Kong Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - FA Cup, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.87
Draw
31%
3.72
Away
33%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.15
Over 2.5
45%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
22%
+14.0pp
31%
Draw
23%
+7.1pp
33%
Away Win
54%
-21.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
43%
+12.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
57%
-12.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.9pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hong Kong FC EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Hong Kong Rangers EU Bookmakers 58%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% /
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
256 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hong Kong FC
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Hong Kong Rangers
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2025 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC 1-3 HT 0-2 Hong Kong Rangers Hong Kong Rangers HK1
26.01.2025 Hong Kong Rangers Hong Kong Rangers 1-0 HT 0-0 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC HK1
15.09.2024 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC 1-3 HT 1-2 Hong Kong Rangers Hong Kong Rangers HK1
19.05.2024 Hong Kong Rangers Hong Kong Rangers 2-1 HT 2-0 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC HK1
05.11.2023 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC 0-3 HT 0-2 Hong Kong Rangers Hong Kong Rangers HK1
16.04.2023 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC 1-2 HT 1-1 Hong Kong Rangers Hong Kong Rangers HK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hong Kong FC
1-4
AWAY Hong Kong Rangers
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 21
1 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hong Kong FC vs Hong Kong Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hong Kong Rangers cruised past Hong Kong FC 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 31% / 33%) promised a tight game; Hong Kong Rangers found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hong Kong FC had 53% of the ball to Hong Kong Rangers's 47%, shots finished 12-21.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hong Kong Rangers led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Hong Kong FC and 2.33 for Hong Kong Rangers.

What was the final score of Hong Kong FC vs Hong Kong Rangers?

Hong Kong FC 1-4 Hong Kong Rangers in the Hong Kong - FA Cup on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hong Kong FC vs Hong Kong Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hong Kong FC win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Hong Kong FC 36%, draw 31%, Hong Kong Rangers 33%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hong Kong FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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