FK Panevezys 0-2 Kauno Zalgiris — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.99
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
36%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.68
Over 2.5
48%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
11%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
30%
+8.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.8pp
36%
Away Win
43%
-7.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.5pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Panevezys EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris EU Bookmakers 48%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
0.98/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.19/0.40
-35% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +150%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
236 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Panevezys
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
20.07.2024 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 1-2 HT 1-1 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
25.05.2024 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 0-0 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LIT1
07.04.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 0-1 HT 0-1 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LIT1
25.10.2023 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 1-1 HT 0-0 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LIT1
07.07.2023 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 3-0 HT 1-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
POST-MATCH FK Panevezys vs Kauno Zalgiris
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kauno Zalgiris beat FK Panevezys 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; Kauno Zalgiris found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Panevezys had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FK Panevezys and 0.50 for Kauno Zalgiris.

What was the final score of FK Panevezys vs Kauno Zalgiris?

FK Panevezys 0-2 Kauno Zalgiris in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Panevezys vs Kauno Zalgiris?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Panevezys win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split FK Panevezys 38%, draw 26%, Kauno Zalgiris 36%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (FK Panevezys), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FK Panevezys) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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