Widzew Lodz 1-2 Motor Lublin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 19 Apr 2025

Widzew Lodz
1-2 HT 0-1
Motor Lublin
📅19/04/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2024/2025

Widzew Lodz vs Motor Lublin Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.07
Over 2.5
53%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.61
No
43%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.8
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
26%
3.02
6+ Goals
11%
9.68
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.86
1/2
8%
31.0
1/X
8%
13.05
X/1
9%
5.02
X/2
8%
7.12
X/X
9%
5.32
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
23.3
2/2
16%
4.89
2/X
11%
13.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.3 — our 11% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-6.5pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.3pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.5pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Widzew Lodz v Motor Lublin — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Widzew Lodz EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Motor Lublin EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.41/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.07/1.21
-11% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +80%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
366 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 76%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.4
22.3 Crosses 22.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.6

Widzew Lodz vs Motor Lublin Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Widzew Lodz
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Motor Lublin
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.23 xG 1.79
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
474 Passes 347
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
19.10.2024 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin 3-4 HT 2-3 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
29.06.2024 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 1-2 HT 0-0 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin HAZ

Widzew Lodz 1-2 Motor Lublin — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Widzew Lodz
1-2
AWAY Motor Lublin
0.82 xG 1.24
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 6
0 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
373 Passes 336
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
23 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Widzew Lodz vs Motor Lublin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Motor Lublin edged past Widzew Lodz 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; Motor Lublin found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Widzew Lodz had 53% of the ball to Motor Lublin's 47%, shots finished 12-6, expected goals 0.82 to 1.24.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Widzew Lodz and 2.50 for Motor Lublin.

What was the final score of Widzew Lodz vs Motor Lublin?

Widzew Lodz 1-2 Motor Lublin in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Widzew Lodz vs Motor Lublin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Widzew Lodz win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Widzew Lodz 39%, draw 28%, Motor Lublin 32%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Widzew Lodz) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Widzew Lodz) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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