Piast Gliwice 1-1 Korona Kielce — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒13:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
33%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.67
2-3 Goals
38%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
4.03
6+ Goals
11%
19.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.67 — our 32% vs market 30.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.75
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.95
X/1
11%
4.51
X/2
13%
7.64
X/X
16%
4.34
2/1
8%
27.5
2/2
14%
6.18
2/X
7%
15.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
48%
-9.4pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.5pp
33%
Away Win
25%
+7.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.0pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Piast Gliwice EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Korona Kielce EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +2%
1.39/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.05
-11% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
325 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 74%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
20.9 Crosses 18.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Piast Gliwice
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Korona Kielce
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.25 xG 0.95
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
371 Passes 273
76% Pass Accuracy 72%
21 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.10.2024 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 0-2 HT 0-1 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
05.05.2024 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 1-1 HT 0-1 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
03.11.2023 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 0-0 HT 0-0 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL
12.05.2023 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 2-1 HT 0-0 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL
29.10.2022 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 1-1 HT 1-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
05.06.2020 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 1-2 HT 1-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Piast Gliwice
1-1
AWAY Korona Kielce
0.49 xG 0.63
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
323 Passes 242
77% Pass Accuracy 72%
24 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Piast Gliwice vs Korona Kielce
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Piast Gliwice and Korona Kielce shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Piast Gliwice had 55% of the ball to Korona Kielce's 45%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 0.49 to 0.63.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Piast Gliwice had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Piast Gliwice and 0.67 for Korona Kielce.

What was the final score of Piast Gliwice vs Korona Kielce?

Piast Gliwice 1-1 Korona Kielce in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Piast Gliwice vs Korona Kielce?

Before kick-off our model rated a Piast Gliwice win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Piast Gliwice 39%, draw 28%, Korona Kielce 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Piast Gliwice), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Piast Gliwice) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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