CD Aguilas 2-0 Lorca Deportiva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 19 Apr 2026

📅19/04/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.53
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
17%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.6
No
55%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
3%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
61%
-5.5pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.1pp
17%
Away Win
14%
+2.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
34%
+10.8pp
55%
BTTS No
66%
-10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Aguilas EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Lorca Deportiva EU Bookmakers 17%
-5% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.76/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.48
+1% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +2%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
338 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 213 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 3.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Aguilas
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Lorca Deportiva
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 6
14.12.2025 Lorca Deportiva Lorca Deportiva 0-1 HT 0-0 CD Aguilas CD Aguilas İS4
15.08.2025 CD Aguilas CD Aguilas 1-1 HT 0-0 Lorca Deportiva Lorca Deportiva HAZ
15.08.2023 CD Aguilas CD Aguilas 1-1 Lorca Deportiva Lorca Deportiva HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Aguilas
2-0
AWAY Lorca Deportiva
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH CD Aguilas vs Lorca Deportiva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Aguilas beat Lorca Deportiva 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had CD Aguilas as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, CD Aguilas had 51% of the ball to Lorca Deportiva's 49%, shots finished 14-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, CD Aguilas had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for CD Aguilas and 0.67 for Lorca Deportiva.

What was the final score of CD Aguilas vs Lorca Deportiva?

CD Aguilas 2-0 Lorca Deportiva in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 19/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Aguilas vs Lorca Deportiva?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Aguilas win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split CD Aguilas 56%, draw 27%, Lorca Deportiva 17%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Aguilas), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CD Aguilas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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