Lorca Deportiva 0-1 CD Aguilas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 14 Dec 2025

📅14/12/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.53
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
30%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.52
Over 2.5
43%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.13
No
49%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
20%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
+2.1pp
32%
Draw
31%
+1.0pp
30%
Away Win
33%
-3.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
43%
+8.4pp
49%
BTTS No
57%
-8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lorca Deportiva EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Aguilas EU Bookmakers 37%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / +11%
1.01/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/0.99
-10% / +105% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
257 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lorca Deportiva
0W-2D-0L
AWAY CD Aguilas
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
6 Yellow Cards 3
15.08.2025 CD Aguilas CD Aguilas 1-1 HT 0-0 Lorca Deportiva Lorca Deportiva HAZ
15.08.2023 CD Aguilas CD Aguilas 1-1 Lorca Deportiva Lorca Deportiva HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lorca Deportiva
0-1
AWAY CD Aguilas
54% Ball Possession 46%
6 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lorca Deportiva vs CD Aguilas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Aguilas edged past Lorca Deportiva 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 32% / 30%) promised a tight game; CD Aguilas found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Lorca Deportiva had 54% of the ball to CD Aguilas's 46%, shots finished 6-7.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lorca Deportiva and 1.00 for CD Aguilas.

What was the final score of Lorca Deportiva vs CD Aguilas?

Lorca Deportiva 0-1 CD Aguilas in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 14/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lorca Deportiva vs CD Aguilas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lorca Deportiva win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Lorca Deportiva 38%, draw 32%, CD Aguilas 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lorca Deportiva), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lorca Deportiva) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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