Orihuela 3-2 Las Palmas II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 14 Dec 2025

📅14/12/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.64
Over 2.5
46%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.06
No
50%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
54%
-1.6pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.8pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+4.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.0pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orihuela EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Las Palmas II EU Bookmakers 23%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.36/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.54/1.01
-14% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +33%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
299 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orihuela
3-2
AWAY Las Palmas II
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Orihuela vs Las Palmas II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orihuela squeezed past Las Palmas II 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Orihuela as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Orihuela had 52% of the ball to Las Palmas II's 48%, shots finished 16-12.

What was the final score of Orihuela vs Las Palmas II?

Orihuela 3-2 Las Palmas II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 14/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orihuela vs Las Palmas II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orihuela win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Orihuela 52%, draw 23%, Las Palmas II 25%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Orihuela) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Orihuela) ✗ Under 2.5
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