La Union Atletico 4-1 UCAM Murcia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 19 Apr 2026

📅19/04/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
36%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.62
Over 2.5
48%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.9
No
46%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+0.8pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.4pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-3.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
58%
-5.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
42%
+5.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.4pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME La Union Atletico EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY UCAM Murcia EU Bookmakers 43%
+12% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -15%
0.99/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/0.98
-7% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
325 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME La Union Atletico
4W-0D-1L
AWAY UCAM Murcia
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.12.2025 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia 1-2 HT 0-1 La Union Atletico La Union Atletico İS4
23.03.2025 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia 0-1 HT 0-0 La Union Atletico La Union Atletico İS4
10.11.2024 La Union Atletico La Union Atletico 1-0 HT 1-0 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia İS4
18.02.2024 La Union Atletico La Union Atletico 2-0 HT 1-0 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia İS4
08.10.2023 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia 3-1 HT 3-1 La Union Atletico La Union Atletico İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME La Union Atletico
4-1
AWAY UCAM Murcia
30% Ball Possession 70%
11 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 12
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH La Union Atletico vs UCAM Murcia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

La Union Atletico ran out comfortable winners over UCAM Murcia 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 31% / 36% — and on the day La Union Atletico made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, La Union Atletico had 30% of the ball to UCAM Murcia's 70%, shots finished 11-12.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, La Union Atletico had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for La Union Atletico and 0.80 for UCAM Murcia.

What was the final score of La Union Atletico vs UCAM Murcia?

La Union Atletico 4-1 UCAM Murcia in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 19/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for La Union Atletico vs UCAM Murcia?

Before kick-off our model rated an UCAM Murcia win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split La Union Atletico 33%, draw 31%, UCAM Murcia 36%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (UCAM Murcia), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (UCAM Murcia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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