UCAM Murcia 0-1 La Union Atletico — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 23 Mar 2025

📅23/03/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.9
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
29%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
Over 2.5
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.44
No
53%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
19%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-3.9pp
26%
Draw
30%
-4.6pp
29%
Away Win
21%
+8.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
37%
+10.4pp
53%
BTTS No
63%
-10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UCAM Murcia EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY La Union Atletico EU Bookmakers 24%
-10% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +14%
1.07/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/0.96
-24% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +38%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
309 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UCAM Murcia
1W-0D-2L
AWAY La Union Atletico
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.11.2024 La Union Atletico La Union Atletico 1-0 HT 1-0 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia İS4
18.02.2024 La Union Atletico La Union Atletico 2-0 HT 1-0 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia İS4
08.10.2023 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia 3-1 HT 3-1 La Union Atletico La Union Atletico İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UCAM Murcia
0-1
AWAY La Union Atletico
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH UCAM Murcia vs La Union Atletico
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

La Union Atletico squeezed past UCAM Murcia 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was UCAM Murcia at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, UCAM Murcia had 57% of the ball to La Union Atletico's 43%, shots finished 12-6.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, La Union Atletico led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for UCAM Murcia and 1.33 for La Union Atletico.

What was the final score of UCAM Murcia vs La Union Atletico?

UCAM Murcia 0-1 La Union Atletico in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UCAM Murcia vs La Union Atletico?

Before kick-off our model rated a UCAM Murcia win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split UCAM Murcia 45%, draw 26%, La Union Atletico 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (UCAM Murcia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (UCAM Murcia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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