UCAM Murcia 1-2 La Union Atletico — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 21 Dec 2025

📅21/12/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
Over 2.5
43%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.16
No
51%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
24%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.2pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.4pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
42%
+7.2pp
51%
BTTS No
58%
-7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UCAM Murcia EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY La Union Atletico EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -7%
1.03/0.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.16
-21% / +99% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
320 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 223 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UCAM Murcia
1W-0D-3L
AWAY La Union Atletico
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
23.03.2025 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia 0-1 HT 0-0 La Union Atletico La Union Atletico İS4
10.11.2024 La Union Atletico La Union Atletico 1-0 HT 1-0 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia İS4
18.02.2024 La Union Atletico La Union Atletico 2-0 HT 1-0 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia İS4
08.10.2023 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia 3-1 HT 3-1 La Union Atletico La Union Atletico İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UCAM Murcia
1-2
AWAY La Union Atletico
70% Ball Possession 30%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH UCAM Murcia vs La Union Atletico
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

La Union Atletico squeezed past UCAM Murcia 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was UCAM Murcia at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, UCAM Murcia had 70% of the ball to La Union Atletico's 30%, shots finished 15-9.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, La Union Atletico led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for UCAM Murcia and 1.25 for La Union Atletico.

What was the final score of UCAM Murcia vs La Union Atletico?

UCAM Murcia 1-2 La Union Atletico in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 21/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UCAM Murcia vs La Union Atletico?

Before kick-off our model rated a UCAM Murcia win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split UCAM Murcia 44%, draw 26%, La Union Atletico 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (UCAM Murcia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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