Orlando City 0-1 Houston Dynamo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 19 Apr 2026

📅19/04/2026 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.46
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.33
Over 2.5
64%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.49
No
35%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
7%
2/1
12%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+3.8pp
20%
Draw
24%
-4.0pp
39%
Away Win
39%
+0.3pp
36%
Under 2.5
39%
-3.5pp
64%
Over 2.5
61%
+3.5pp
65%
BTTS Yes
63%
+1.6pp
35%
BTTS No
37%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orlando City EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Houston Dynamo EU Bookmakers 43%
-4% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -10%
1.34/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.21
-9% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -70% / +43%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
357 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 84%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
17.0 Crosses 16.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orlando City
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Houston Dynamo
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.31 xG 1.48
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
376 Passes 299
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.07.2023 Orlando City Orlando City 1-1 HT 0-1 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo CONLK
19.06.2022 Orlando City Orlando City 2-1 HT 1-0 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
22.09.2019 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 2-1 HT 0-1 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
23.09.2018 Orlando City Orlando City 0-0 HT 0-0 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
07.05.2017 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 4-0 HT 1-0 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
09.07.2016 Orlando City Orlando City 0-0 HT 0-0 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orlando City
0-1
AWAY Houston Dynamo
1.21 xG 1.26
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
427 Passes 279
89% Pass Accuracy 85%
27 Box Touches 18
26 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Orlando City vs Houston Dynamo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Houston Dynamo squeezed past Orlando City 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (41% / 20% / 39%) promised a tight game; Houston Dynamo found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (65%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Orlando City had 60% of the ball to Houston Dynamo's 40%, shots finished 17-18, expected goals 1.21 to 1.26.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Houston Dynamo led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Orlando City and 1.33 for Houston Dynamo.

What was the final score of Orlando City vs Houston Dynamo?

Orlando City 0-1 Houston Dynamo in the USA - Major League on 19/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orlando City vs Houston Dynamo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orlando City win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Orlando City 41%, draw 20%, Houston Dynamo 39%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Orlando City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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