Minnesota United 2-0 Portland Timbers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 19 Apr 2026

📅19/04/2026 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
22%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.56
No
43%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.43
2-3 Goals
40%
1.86
4-5 Goals
26%
2.77
6+ Goals
11%
7.73
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.23
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
8%
13.25
X/1
18%
4.52
X/2
7%
8.89
X/X
10%
5.83
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
20.35
2/2
8%
6.3
2/X
6%
14.35
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.35 — our 9% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
53%
+0.9pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.4pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-1.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.1pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Minnesota United EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Portland Timbers EU Bookmakers 27%
-3% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -6%
1.79/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.75
+0% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
374 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 81%
28.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
19.2 Crosses 15.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Minnesota United
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Portland Timbers
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.67 xG 1.73
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
306 Passes 396
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 29
14 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2025 Minnesota United Minnesota United 1-1 HT 0-0 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
20.07.2025 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 1-1 HT 0-0 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABD
30.06.2024 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 3-2 HT 1-2 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABD
19.05.2024 Minnesota United Minnesota United 2-1 HT 0-1 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
02.07.2023 Minnesota United Minnesota United 4-1 HT 2-0 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
21.05.2023 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 0-1 HT 0-0 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Minnesota United
2-0
AWAY Portland Timbers
44% Ball Possession 56%
17 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
366 Passes 483
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
POST-MATCH Minnesota United vs Portland Timbers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Minnesota United got the better of Portland Timbers 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Minnesota United as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Minnesota United had 44% of the ball to Portland Timbers's 56%, shots finished 17-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Minnesota United had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Minnesota United and 1.17 for Portland Timbers.

What was the final score of Minnesota United vs Portland Timbers?

Minnesota United 2-0 Portland Timbers in the USA - Major League on 19/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Minnesota United vs Portland Timbers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Minnesota United win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Minnesota United 54%, draw 24%, Portland Timbers 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Minnesota United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Minnesota United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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