New York City FC vs Charlotte Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
New York City FC v Charlotte — Team-Based Signals
New York City FC vs Charlotte Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
New York City FC 1-2 Charlotte — Actual Match Statistics
Charlotte squeezed past New York City FC 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
This one beat our numbers. New York City FC carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, New York City FC had 64% of the ball to Charlotte's 36%, shots finished 22-7, expected goals 1.76 to 1.02 — on chances, New York City FC could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, New York City FC had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for New York City FC and 0.67 for Charlotte.
What was the final score of New York City FC vs Charlotte?
New York City FC 1-2 Charlotte in the USA - Major League on 19/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for New York City FC vs Charlotte?
Before kick-off our model rated a New York City FC win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split New York City FC 55%, draw 22%, Charlotte 23%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (New York City FC) went the other way.