Charlotte vs New York City FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Charlotte v New York City FC — Team-Based Signals
Charlotte vs New York City FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Charlotte 1-3 New York City FC — Actual Match Statistics
New York City FC put daylight between themselves and Charlotte 3-1 on their travels. Half-time: 0-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 29% / 37% — and on the day New York City FC made the difference.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 48% for over 2.5, 53% on both teams scoring.
On the day, Charlotte had 48% of the ball to New York City FC's 52%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 2.61 to 0.98 — by the quality of chances, Charlotte deserved more.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, New York City FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Charlotte and 0.83 for New York City FC.
Charlotte vs New York City FC Result & Final Score
Charlotte 1 - 3 New York City FC in the USA - Major League on 08/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Charlotte vs New York City FC Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an New York City FC win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Charlotte 34%, draw 29%, New York City FC 37%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (New York City FC), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.