Charlotte vs New York City FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Charlotte v New York City FC — Team-Based Signals
Charlotte vs New York City FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Charlotte 1-3 New York City FC — Actual Match Statistics
New York City FC got the better of Charlotte 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had New York City FC as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.
On the day, Charlotte had 48% of the ball to New York City FC's 52%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 2.61 to 0.98 — the balance of chances actually favoured Charlotte.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, New York City FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Charlotte and 0.83 for New York City FC.
What was the final score of Charlotte vs New York City FC?
Charlotte 1-3 New York City FC in the USA - Major League on 08/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Charlotte vs New York City FC?
Before kick-off our model rated an New York City FC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Charlotte 32%, draw 27%, New York City FC 41%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (New York City FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.