Charlotte vs New York City FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Charlotte v New York City FC — Team-Based Signals
Charlotte vs New York City FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Charlotte
ABD
3-2
HT 2-1
New York City FC
ABD
Charlotte 0-1 New York City FC — Actual Match Statistics
New York City FC edged past Charlotte 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; New York City FC found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Charlotte had 50% of the ball to New York City FC's 50%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 0.49 to 1.36.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Charlotte had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Charlotte and 1.17 for New York City FC.
What was the final score of Charlotte vs New York City FC?
Charlotte 0-1 New York City FC in the USA - Major League on 29/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Charlotte vs New York City FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Charlotte win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Charlotte 37%, draw 28%, New York City FC 35%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.