FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FC Cincinnati v Chicago Fire — Team-Based Signals
FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Chicago Fire
ABD
3-3
HT 2-1
FC Cincinnati
ABD
FC Cincinnati 3-3 Chicago Fire — Actual Match Statistics
FC Cincinnati and Chicago Fire shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 24% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (59%) came in.
On the day, FC Cincinnati had 55% of the ball to Chicago Fire's 45%, shots finished 23-18, expected goals 4.12 to 1.90.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Cincinnati had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for FC Cincinnati and 1.33 for Chicago Fire.
What was the final score of FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire?
FC Cincinnati 3-3 Chicago Fire in the USA - Major League on 19/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire?
Before kick-off our model rated a FC Cincinnati win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split FC Cincinnati 39%, draw 24%, Chicago Fire 37%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Cincinnati) went the other way.