Chicago Fire vs FC Cincinnati Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chicago Fire v FC Cincinnati — Team-Based Signals
Chicago Fire vs FC Cincinnati Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Chicago Fire
ABD
3-3
HT 2-1
FC Cincinnati
ABD
2-3
HT 0-0
Chicago Fire
ABD
1-2
HT 0-1
FC Cincinnati
ABD
Chicago Fire 2-3 FC Cincinnati — Actual Match Statistics
FC Cincinnati edged past Chicago Fire 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 36% — and on the day FC Cincinnati made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Chicago Fire had 57% of the ball to FC Cincinnati's 43%, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 2.34 to 1.11 — the balance of chances actually favoured Chicago Fire.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Cincinnati led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Chicago Fire and 1.67 for FC Cincinnati.
What was the final score of Chicago Fire vs FC Cincinnati?
Chicago Fire 2-3 FC Cincinnati in the USA - Major League on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chicago Fire vs FC Cincinnati?
Before kick-off our model rated a Chicago Fire win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Chicago Fire 37%, draw 27%, FC Cincinnati 36%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chicago Fire) went the other way.