Minnesota United 1-1 Portland Timbers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 31 Aug 2025

📅31/08/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.07
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
25%
2.88
6+ Goals
9%
8.64
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.21
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.75
X/1 EV+ ✗
25%
4.36
X/2
8%
8.86
X/X
14%
5.74
2/1
9%
20.55
2/2
9%
6.49
2/X
5%
14.95
Value flag · X/1 at 4.36 — our 25% vs market 18.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
53%
-0.9pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.0pp
23%
Away Win
23%
-0.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.3pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Minnesota United EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Portland Timbers EU Bookmakers 26%
-3% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.81/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.74
+3% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
378 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 80%
29.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
19.5 Crosses 14.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Minnesota United
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Portland Timbers
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.87 xG 1.63
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
305 Passes 378
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
28 Box Touches 29
15 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 3
20.07.2025 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 1-1 HT 0-0 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABD
30.06.2024 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 3-2 HT 1-2 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABD
19.05.2024 Minnesota United Minnesota United 2-1 HT 0-1 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
02.07.2023 Minnesota United Minnesota United 4-1 HT 2-0 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
21.05.2023 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 0-1 HT 0-0 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABD
11.09.2022 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 1-0 HT 0-0 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Minnesota United
1-1
AWAY Portland Timbers
1.45 xG 1.55
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
318 Passes 474
82% Pass Accuracy 87%
12 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Minnesota United vs Portland Timbers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Minnesota United and Portland Timbers shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Minnesota United at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Minnesota United had 42% of the ball to Portland Timbers's 58%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 1.45 to 1.55.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Minnesota United had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Minnesota United and 1.17 for Portland Timbers.

What was the final score of Minnesota United vs Portland Timbers?

Minnesota United 1-1 Portland Timbers in the USA - Major League on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Minnesota United vs Portland Timbers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Minnesota United win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Minnesota United 52%, draw 25%, Portland Timbers 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Minnesota United), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Minnesota United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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