Toronto FC vs CF Montreal Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Toronto FC v CF Montreal — Team-Based Signals
Toronto FC vs CF Montreal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-3
HT 0-2
CF Montreal
ABD
2-0
HT 0-0
Toronto FC
ABD
3-4
HT 2-3
CF Montreal
ABD
Toronto FC 1-1 CF Montreal — Actual Match Statistics
Toronto FC and CF Montreal shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was Toronto FC at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Toronto FC had 43% of the ball to CF Montreal's 57%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 1.32 to 1.20.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Toronto FC and 1.83 for CF Montreal.
What was the final score of Toronto FC vs CF Montreal?
Toronto FC 1-1 CF Montreal in the USA - Major League on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Toronto FC vs CF Montreal?
Before kick-off our model rated a Toronto FC win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Toronto FC 45%, draw 24%, CF Montreal 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Toronto FC), BTTS No went the other way.