FC Cincinnati 0-1 Philadelphia Union — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 31 Aug 2025

📅31/08/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.53
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
44%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.29
Over 2.5
46%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.49
No
50%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
4.52
2-3 Goals
42%
1.87
4-5 Goals
19%
2.73
6+ Goals
10%
7.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.52 — our 29% vs market 16.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.84
1/2
7%
22.8
1/X
8%
12.45
X/1
9%
6.3
X/2
15%
5.6
X/X
9%
5.51
2/1
9%
25.5
2/2
22%
3.21
2/X
6%
12.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
36%
-2.8pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.0pp
44%
Away Win
39%
+4.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
40%
+14.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
60%
-14.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
63%
-13.4pp
50%
BTTS No
37%
+13.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Cincinnati EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Philadelphia Union EU Bookmakers 43%
-19% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -15%
1.16/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.14
-5% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -10%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
345 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 82%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
14.2 Crosses 17.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Cincinnati
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Philadelphia Union
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.72 xG 1.57
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
411 Passes 322
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
28 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2025 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 4-1 HT 2-0 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD
20.10.2024 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 1-2 HT 1-1 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD
14.08.2024 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 2-4 HT 0-0 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union CONLK
20.06.2024 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 4-3 HT 1-1 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
26.11.2023 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 1-0 HT 0-0 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
17.09.2023 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 2-2 HT 2-0 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Cincinnati
0-1
AWAY Philadelphia Union
1.41 xG 2.33
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
348 Passes 235
76% Pass Accuracy 70%
27 Box Touches 22
23 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Philadelphia Union squeezed past FC Cincinnati 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Philadelphia Union as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, FC Cincinnati had 58% of the ball to Philadelphia Union's 42%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 1.41 to 2.33.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Cincinnati had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for FC Cincinnati and 2.33 for Philadelphia Union.

What was the final score of FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union?

FC Cincinnati 0-1 Philadelphia Union in the USA - Major League on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union?

Before kick-off our model rated an Philadelphia Union win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split FC Cincinnati 33%, draw 23%, Philadelphia Union 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Philadelphia Union), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Philadelphia Union) ✓ Under 2.5
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