New England Revolution 1-2 Charlotte — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 31 Aug 2025

📅31/08/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.02
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.21
Over 2.5
57%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.55
No
42%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.22
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals
28%
2.82
6+ Goals
12%
8.17
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.79
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
29.0
1/X
8%
12.5
X/1
10%
5.04
X/2
10%
7.02
X/X
8%
5.44
2/1
7%
21.95
2/2
15%
4.63
2/X
6%
13.05
Value flag · 1/2 at 29.0 — our 7% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+1.1pp
21%
Draw
25%
-3.5pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.7pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME New England Revolution EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Charlotte EU Bookmakers 33%
-3% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -12%
1.48/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.63
-9% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -20%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
323 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 80%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
23.0 Crosses 13.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME New England Revolution
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Charlotte
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.05 xG 1.20
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
344 Passes 394
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
27 Box Touches 26
19 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2025 Charlotte Charlotte 0-1 HT 0-0 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
21.09.2024 Charlotte Charlotte 4-0 HT 1-0 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
07.04.2024 New England Revolution New England Revolution 1-0 HT 1-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
01.10.2023 New England Revolution New England Revolution 2-1 HT 0-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
26.02.2023 Charlotte Charlotte 0-1 HT 0-0 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
17.04.2022 New England Revolution New England Revolution 2-1 HT 1-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME New England Revolution
1-2
AWAY Charlotte
52% Ball Possession 48%
19 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
417 Passes 377
89% Pass Accuracy 85%
POST-MATCH New England Revolution vs Charlotte
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charlotte squeezed past New England Revolution 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was New England Revolution at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, New England Revolution had 52% of the ball to Charlotte's 48%, shots finished 19-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, New England Revolution had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for New England Revolution and 1.00 for Charlotte.

What was the final score of New England Revolution vs Charlotte?

New England Revolution 1-2 Charlotte in the USA - Major League on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for New England Revolution vs Charlotte?

Before kick-off our model rated a New England Revolution win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split New England Revolution 47%, draw 21%, Charlotte 32%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (New England Revolution) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (New England Revolution) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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