Charlotte 0-1 New England Revolution — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.56
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.14
6+ Goals
11%
10.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.41
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.4
X/1
21%
4.56
X/2
9%
8.72
X/X
13%
5.18
2/1 EV+ ✗
14%
22.9
2/2
10%
6.56
2/X
6%
14.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.9 — our 14% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
52%
-0.4pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.1pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.0pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Charlotte EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY New England Revolution EU Bookmakers 27%
-9% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -1%
1.20/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.76
-23% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +13%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
371 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 77%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
19.0 Crosses 17.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Charlotte
2W-0D-4L
AWAY New England Revolution
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.14 xG 1.32
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
372 Passes 346
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 29
23 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2024 Charlotte Charlotte 4-0 HT 1-0 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
07.04.2024 New England Revolution New England Revolution 1-0 HT 1-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
01.10.2023 New England Revolution New England Revolution 2-1 HT 0-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
26.02.2023 Charlotte Charlotte 0-1 HT 0-0 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
17.04.2022 New England Revolution New England Revolution 2-1 HT 1-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
20.03.2022 Charlotte Charlotte 3-1 HT 1-0 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Charlotte
0-1
AWAY New England Revolution
1.57 xG 0.25
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 1
477 Passes 331
88% Pass Accuracy 85%
26 Box Touches 14
13 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Charlotte vs New England Revolution
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

New England Revolution edged past Charlotte 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Charlotte at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Charlotte had 58% of the ball to New England Revolution's 42%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 1.57 to 0.25 — on chances, Charlotte could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, New England Revolution led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Charlotte and 1.17 for New England Revolution.

What was the final score of Charlotte vs New England Revolution?

Charlotte 0-1 New England Revolution in the USA - Major League on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Charlotte vs New England Revolution?

Before kick-off our model rated a Charlotte win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Charlotte 51%, draw 25%, New England Revolution 24%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Charlotte) ✗ Over 2.5
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