San Diego 1-3 Real Salt Lake — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.72
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
23%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.36
2-3 Goals
37%
1.87
4-5 Goals
28%
2.79
6+ Goals
11%
7.81
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
2.2
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
5%
13.8
X/1
14%
4.51
X/2
7%
9.5
X/X
14%
6.0
2/1
7%
20.65
2/2
10%
6.88
2/X
5%
15.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
54%
-2.8pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.3pp
23%
Away Win
22%
+1.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.8pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Diego EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Salt Lake EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
373 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
Crosses 16.2
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Diego
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Real Salt Lake
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.65 xG 2.09
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
433 Passes 388
85% Pass Accuracy 83%
29 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
09.03.2025 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 1-3 HT 1-1 San Diego ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Diego
1-3
AWAY Real Salt Lake
1.67 xG 1.90
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
471 Passes 328
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
27 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH San Diego vs Real Salt Lake
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Salt Lake saw off San Diego 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was San Diego at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, San Diego had 58% of the ball to Real Salt Lake's 42%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 1.67 to 1.90.

What was the final score of San Diego vs Real Salt Lake?

San Diego 1-3 Real Salt Lake in the USA - Major League on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Diego vs Real Salt Lake?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Diego win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split San Diego 52%, draw 25%, Real Salt Lake 23%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (San Diego) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (San Diego) ✓ Over 2.5
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