Nashville SC 7-2 Chicago Fire — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.18
Over 2.5
55%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.24
2-3 Goals
35%
1.86
4-5 Goals
27%
2.83
6+ Goals
14%
8.12
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.59
1/2
7%
33.0
1/X
9%
12.35
X/1
12%
4.99
X/2
10%
8.14
X/X
7%
5.43
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
22.0
2/2
15%
5.54
2/X
6%
13.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.0 — our 8% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-2.4pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.5pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+5.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
42%
+2.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
58%
-2.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.1pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nashville SC EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Chicago Fire EU Bookmakers 30%
-1% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +9%
1.69/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.65
+1% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -4%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
347 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 83%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
20.2 Crosses 14.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nashville SC
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Chicago Fire
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
2.06 xG 0.79
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
361 Passes 391
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
27 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.10.2024 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 0-3 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
19.09.2024 Nashville SC Nashville SC 1-0 HT 1-0 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire ABD
09.07.2023 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 1-0 HT 1-0 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
07.05.2023 Nashville SC Nashville SC 3-0 HT 1-0 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire ABD
26.09.2021 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 0-0 HT 0-0 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
18.07.2021 Nashville SC Nashville SC 5-1 HT 4-0 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nashville SC
7-2
AWAY Chicago Fire
4.66 xG 0.47
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 8
12 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 1
520 Passes 356
88% Pass Accuracy 82%
31 Box Touches 18
9 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Nashville SC vs Chicago Fire
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nashville SC swept aside Chicago Fire 7-2. Half-time: 5-0. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Nashville SC as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 7-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Nashville SC had 58% of the ball to Chicago Fire's 42%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 4.66 to 0.47.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nashville SC had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Nashville SC and 0.33 for Chicago Fire.

What was the final score of Nashville SC vs Chicago Fire?

Nashville SC 7-2 Chicago Fire in the USA - Major League on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nashville SC vs Chicago Fire?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nashville SC win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Nashville SC 46%, draw 22%, Chicago Fire 32%. The final score 7-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nashville SC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nashville SC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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