Mikkeli 0-1 KaPa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 19 Apr 2026

Mikkeli
0-1 HT 0-1
KaPa
📅19/04/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.46
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.85
2-3 Goals
35%
1.79
4-5 Goals
26%
2.91
6+ Goals
13%
9.06
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-1.8pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.6pp
36%
Away Win
37%
-0.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.0pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mikkeli EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY KaPa EU Bookmakers 40%
-5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.10/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.26/1.81
-22% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / -29%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
337 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mikkeli
1W-0D-4L
AWAY KaPa
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.40
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2024 KaPa KaPa 3-2 HT 0-2 Mikkeli Mikkeli FİN2
11.07.2024 Mikkeli Mikkeli 2-6 HT 1-3 KaPa KaPa FİN2
12.05.2024 KaPa KaPa 4-0 HT 2-0 Mikkeli Mikkeli FİN2
28.06.2023 Mikkeli Mikkeli 6-2 HT 4-1 KaPa KaPa FİN2
16.04.2023 KaPa KaPa 2-0 HT 1-0 Mikkeli Mikkeli FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mikkeli
0-1
AWAY KaPa
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mikkeli vs KaPa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KaPa squeezed past Mikkeli 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 36% — and on the day KaPa made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mikkeli had 55% of the ball to KaPa's 45%, shots finished 12-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, KaPa led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Mikkeli and 3.40 for KaPa.

What was the final score of Mikkeli vs KaPa?

Mikkeli 0-1 KaPa in the Finland - Ykkönen on 19/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mikkeli vs KaPa?

Before kick-off our model rated an KaPa win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Mikkeli 35%, draw 28%, KaPa 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KaPa) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (KaPa) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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