Katsina United 3-2 Bayelsa United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 19 Apr 2026

📅19/04/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
18%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
Over 2.5
39%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.53
No
54%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
23%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-3.5pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.8pp
18%
Away Win
18%
+0.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
36%
+10.1pp
54%
BTTS No
64%
-10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Katsina United EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayelsa United EU Bookmakers 21%
+5% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -7%
1.60/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.34/1.35
+15% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / +2%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
448 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Katsina United
0W-5D-0L
AWAY Bayelsa United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
5 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 1
30.11.2025 Bayelsa United Bayelsa United 1-1 HT 1-1 Katsina United Katsina United NIJ
06.04.2025 Katsina United Katsina United 1-1 HT 0-1 Bayelsa United Bayelsa United NIJ
17.11.2024 Bayelsa United Bayelsa United 1-1 HT 0-0 Katsina United Katsina United NIJ
16.04.2024 Bayelsa United Bayelsa United 1-1 HT 1-1 Katsina United Katsina United NIJ
26.11.2023 Katsina United Katsina United 1-1 HT 0-1 Bayelsa United Bayelsa United NIJ
POST-MATCH Katsina United vs Bayelsa United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Katsina United squeezed past Bayelsa United 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Katsina United as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Katsina United and 1.00 for Bayelsa United.

What was the final score of Katsina United vs Bayelsa United?

Katsina United 3-2 Bayelsa United in the Nigeria NPFL on 19/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Katsina United vs Bayelsa United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Katsina United win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Katsina United 50%, draw 32%, Bayelsa United 18%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Katsina United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Katsina United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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