Universitatea Craiova 1-0 Rapid Bucarest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 19 Apr 2026

📅19/04/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.8
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
21%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.78
2-3 Goals
39%
1.7
4-5 Goals
21%
3.73
6+ Goals
9%
16.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.78 — our 31% vs market 28.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
52%
-2.4pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.0pp
21%
Away Win
22%
-0.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.4pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universitatea Craiova EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Rapid Bucarest EU Bookmakers 25%
+3% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -1%
2.05/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.80
+8% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
380 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 77%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
16.1 Crosses 15.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universitatea Craiova
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Rapid Bucarest
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.45 xG 0.86
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
442 Passes 241
86% Pass Accuracy 76%
31 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.03.2026 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest 1-1 HT 0-0 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
02.11.2025 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 2-2 HT 1-1 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest ROM
02.05.2025 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 1-2 HT 0-0 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest ROM
29.03.2025 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest 1-2 HT 0-1 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
25.01.2025 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest 1-0 HT 1-0 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
31.08.2024 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 1-1 HT 1-1 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universitatea Craiova
1-0
AWAY Rapid Bucarest
0.83 xG 0.74
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 0
371 Passes 396
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 12
26 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Universitatea Craiova vs Rapid Bucarest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universitatea Craiova squeezed past Rapid Bucarest 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Universitatea Craiova as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Universitatea Craiova had 49% of the ball to Rapid Bucarest's 51%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 0.83 to 0.74.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rapid Bucarest led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Universitatea Craiova and 1.33 for Rapid Bucarest.

What was the final score of Universitatea Craiova vs Rapid Bucarest?

Universitatea Craiova 1-0 Rapid Bucarest in the Romania - 1st Division on 19/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universitatea Craiova vs Rapid Bucarest?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universitatea Craiova win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Universitatea Craiova 49%, draw 30%, Rapid Bucarest 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universitatea Craiova), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Universitatea Craiova) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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