Real Aviles 1-0 Ciudad Real — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.96
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.51
Over 2.5
40%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
47%
+2.1pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.4pp
23%
Away Win
23%
+0.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.2pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Aviles EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Ciudad Real EU Bookmakers 26%
-4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.42/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.23/0.96
+12% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -75% / +24%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
249 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Aviles
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Ciudad Real
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
4 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
12.05.2024 Ciudad Real Ciudad Real 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Aviles Real Aviles İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Aviles
1-0
AWAY Ciudad Real
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Real Aviles vs Ciudad Real
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Aviles edged past Ciudad Real 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Real Aviles as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Real Aviles had 49% of the ball to Ciudad Real's 51%, shots finished 10-7.

What was the final score of Real Aviles vs Ciudad Real?

Real Aviles 1-0 Ciudad Real in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Aviles vs Ciudad Real?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Aviles win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Real Aviles 49%, draw 28%, Ciudad Real 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Aviles), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Real Aviles) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS4 More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
19 May 2024
13:00 Europa vs Real Betis II Analysis →
13:00 Izarra vs Formentera Analysis →
19:00 Pontevedra vs Zaragoza II Analysis →
19:00 Badalona vs Orihuela Analysis →
19:00 Numancia vs Utebo Analysis →
19:00 UD Logrones vs Guijuelo Analysis →