UD Logrones 1-0 Guijuelo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
20%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.51
Over 2.5
49%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.51
No
56%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
59%
-2.2pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.3pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+4.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
62%
-12.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
38%
+12.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
36%
+8.0pp
56%
BTTS No
64%
-8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UD Logrones EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Guijuelo EU Bookmakers 19%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
3.27/0.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/1.27
+90% / +99% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +16%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
335 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UD Logrones
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Guijuelo
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
6 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
01.12.2019 UD Logrones UD Logrones 2-0 HT 0-0 Guijuelo Guijuelo İS3
06.04.2014 Guijuelo Guijuelo 1-2 HT 0-0 UD Logrones UD Logrones İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UD Logrones
1-0
AWAY Guijuelo
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH UD Logrones vs Guijuelo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UD Logrones edged past Guijuelo 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had UD Logrones as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, UD Logrones had 42% of the ball to Guijuelo's 58%, shots finished 6-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, UD Logrones had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for UD Logrones and 0.50 for Guijuelo.

What was the final score of UD Logrones vs Guijuelo?

UD Logrones 1-0 Guijuelo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UD Logrones vs Guijuelo?

Before kick-off our model rated a UD Logrones win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split UD Logrones 57%, draw 23%, Guijuelo 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UD Logrones), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (UD Logrones) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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