Pontevedra 3-1 Zaragoza II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.32
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
17%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.23
Over 2.5
50%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
71%
-8.9pp
21%
Draw
18%
+2.6pp
17%
Away Win
11%
+6.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.5pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pontevedra EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Zaragoza II EU Bookmakers 14%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
2.58/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.43/1.74
+32% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +1%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
350 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pontevedra
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Zaragoza II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 2
12.05.2024 Zaragoza II Zaragoza II 2-1 HT 0-1 Pontevedra Pontevedra İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pontevedra
3-1
AWAY Zaragoza II
66% Ball Possession 34%
26 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Pontevedra vs Zaragoza II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pontevedra got the better of Zaragoza II 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Pontevedra as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pontevedra had 66% of the ball to Zaragoza II's 34%, shots finished 26-4.

What was the final score of Pontevedra vs Zaragoza II?

Pontevedra 3-1 Zaragoza II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pontevedra vs Zaragoza II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pontevedra win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Pontevedra 62%, draw 21%, Zaragoza II 17%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pontevedra) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pontevedra) ✗ BTTS No
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