Numancia 2-0 Utebo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.61
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
26%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
58%
-9.3pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.1pp
26%
Away Win
17%
+9.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.2pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Numancia EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Utebo EU Bookmakers 20%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
1.79/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/0.73
+3% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +58% / +102%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
290 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Numancia
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Utebo
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
12.05.2024 Utebo Utebo 2-2 HT 1-1 Numancia Numancia İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Numancia
2-0
AWAY Utebo
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Numancia vs Utebo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Numancia saw off Utebo 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Numancia as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Numancia had 47% of the ball to Utebo's 53%, shots finished 14-6.

What was the final score of Numancia vs Utebo?

Numancia 2-0 Utebo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Numancia vs Utebo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Numancia win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Numancia 49%, draw 25%, Utebo 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Numancia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Numancia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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