Bahardar 1-1 Mekelakeya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 19 May 2026

📅19/05/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.29
Draw
37%
2.7
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
73%
Over 2.5
27%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
2.44
No
67%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
5%
X/2
14%
X/X
22%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
27%
-2.1pp
37%
Draw
34%
+3.2pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-1.0pp
33%
BTTS Yes
37%
-3.9pp
67%
BTTS No
63%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bahardar EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Mekelakeya EU Bookmakers 43%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +9%
1.33/0.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/0.89
+48% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -7%
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
304 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bahardar
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Mekelakeya
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.01.2026 Mekelakeya Mekelakeya 1-2 HT 0-0 Bahardar Bahardar ETH
19.05.2025 Bahardar Bahardar 0-0 HT 0-0 Mekelakeya Mekelakeya ETH
25.01.2025 Mekelakeya Mekelakeya 1-1 Bahardar Bahardar ETH
07.03.2024 Mekelakeya Mekelakeya 0-1 HT 0-0 Bahardar Bahardar ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bahardar
1-1
AWAY Mekelakeya
35% Ball Possession 65%
3 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bahardar vs Mekelakeya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bahardar and Mekelakeya couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 25% / 37% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (73%) landed while no to both teams scoring (67%) missed.

On the day, Bahardar had 35% of the ball to Mekelakeya's 65%, shots finished 3-11.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Bahardar had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bahardar and 0.50 for Mekelakeya.

What was the final score of Bahardar vs Mekelakeya?

Bahardar 1-1 Mekelakeya in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 19/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bahardar vs Mekelakeya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mekelakeya win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Bahardar 25%, draw 37%, Mekelakeya 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Mekelakeya), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mekelakeya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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