Al Talaba 1-1 Al Karma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 19 May 2026

📅19/05/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.84
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
32%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.67
Over 2.5
35%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.85
No
59%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
32%
+7.6pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.4pp
31%
Away Win
40%
-8.1pp
65%
Under 2.5
56%
+8.6pp
35%
Over 2.5
44%
-8.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
50%
-8.9pp
59%
BTTS No
50%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Talaba EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Karma EU Bookmakers 43%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.15/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/0.93
+10% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
311 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Talaba
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Al Karma
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
05.02.2026 Al Karma 1-1 HT 1-1 Al Talaba Al Talaba IRAK
12.04.2025 Al Karma 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Talaba Al Talaba IRAK
POST-MATCH Al Talaba vs Al Karma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Talaba and Al Karma couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 31% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (65%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Talaba and 1.00 for Al Karma.

What was the final score of Al Talaba vs Al Karma?

Al Talaba 1-1 Al Karma in the Iraq - Premier League on 19/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Talaba vs Al Karma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Talaba win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Al Talaba 39%, draw 29%, Al Karma 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Talaba), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Talaba) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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