Al-Qasim 2-5 Naft Maysan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 19 May 2026

📅19/05/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
9%
7.78
Draw
21%
4.81
Away
70%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
2.23
Over 2.5
40%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.96
No
61%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
4%
X/2
33%
X/X
11%
2/1
2%
2/2
30%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
9%
Home Win
10%
-1.2pp
21%
Draw
18%
+2.8pp
70%
Away Win
71%
-1.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
41%
+18.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
59%
-18.7pp
39%
BTTS Yes
47%
-7.8pp
61%
BTTS No
53%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al-Qasim EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Naft Maysan EU Bookmakers 75%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -78% / -78%
0.57/2.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-38% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -10%
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
297 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al-Qasim
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Naft Maysan
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
14.02.2026 Naft Maysan Naft Maysan 2-1 HT 0-0 Al-Qasim Al-Qasim IRAK
03.05.2025 Naft Maysan Naft Maysan 0-1 HT 0-1 Al-Qasim Al-Qasim IRAK
POST-MATCH Al-Qasim vs Naft Maysan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naft Maysan ran out comfortable winners over Al-Qasim 5-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Naft Maysan as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al-Qasim and 1.00 for Naft Maysan.

What was the final score of Al-Qasim vs Naft Maysan?

Al-Qasim 2-5 Naft Maysan in the Iraq - Premier League on 19/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al-Qasim vs Naft Maysan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Naft Maysan win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Al-Qasim 9%, draw 21%, Naft Maysan 70%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Naft Maysan) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Naft Maysan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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