Diala vs Baghdad Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Diala v Baghdad — Team-Based Signals
Diala vs Baghdad Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
Baghdad swept aside Diala 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Diala at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
What was the final score of Diala vs Baghdad?
Diala 1-4 Baghdad in the Iraq - Premier League on 19/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Diala vs Baghdad?
Before kick-off our model rated a Diala win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Diala 42%, draw 27%, Baghdad 32%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Diala), Under 2.5 went the other way.