BUL 1-1 Kitara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 19 May 2026

BUL
1-1 HT 1-1
Kitara
📅19/05/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Uganda - Premier League – 2025/2026

BUL vs Kitara Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.33
Draw
29%
2.83
Away
36%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
Over 2.5
39%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.19
No
56%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
21%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
39%
-4.0pp
29%
Draw
32%
-3.3pp
36%
Away Win
29%
+7.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.6pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

BUL v Kitara — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BUL EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Kitara EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.93/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/0.58
-6% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +62%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
299 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.4

BUL vs Kitara Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BUL
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Kitara
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.11.2025 Kitara Kitara 1-0 HT 1-0 BUL BUL UGA
06.03.2025 BUL BUL 1-0 HT 0-0 Kitara Kitara UGA
25.10.2024 Kitara Kitara 1-3 HT 1-2 BUL BUL UGA
29.03.2024 Kitara Kitara 0-0 HT 0-0 BUL BUL UGA
26.11.2023 BUL BUL 2-1 HT 2-0 Kitara Kitara UGA
POST-MATCH BUL vs Kitara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BUL and Kitara couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, BUL had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for BUL and 0.60 for Kitara.

What was the final score of BUL vs Kitara?

BUL 1-1 Kitara in the Uganda - Premier League on 19/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BUL vs Kitara?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kitara win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split BUL 35%, draw 29%, Kitara 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kitara), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kitara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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