Express 0-0 Lugazi Municipal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 19 May 2026

📅19/05/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.33
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
39%
+3.1pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.6pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+0.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.5pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Express EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Lugazi Municipal EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.15/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/0.00
+17% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% /
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
289 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Express
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Lugazi Municipal
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
20.11.2025 Lugazi Municipal 0-0 HT 0-0 Express Express UGA
06.03.2025 Lugazi Municipal 1-0 HT 1-0 Express Express UGA
22.10.2024 Express Express 0-1 HT 0-1 Lugazi Municipal UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Express
0-0
AWAY Lugazi Municipal
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Express vs Lugazi Municipal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Express and Lugazi Municipal fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Express at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Express had 55% of the ball to Lugazi Municipal's 45%, shots finished 9-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Lugazi Municipal led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Express and 0.67 for Lugazi Municipal.

What was the final score of Express vs Lugazi Municipal?

Express 0-0 Lugazi Municipal in the Uganda - Premier League on 19/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Express vs Lugazi Municipal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Express win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Express 42%, draw 27%, Lugazi Municipal 31%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Express) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Express) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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