Lugazi Municipal 0-0 Express — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 20 Nov 2025

📅20/11/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.52
Over 2.5
37%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
45%
+0.0pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.9pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-1.0pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.6pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.9pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lugazi Municipal EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Express EU Bookmakers 31%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.81/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/0.95
+58% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
282 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lugazi Municipal
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Express
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
06.03.2025 Lugazi Municipal 1-0 HT 1-0 Express Express UGA
22.10.2024 Express Express 0-1 HT 0-1 Lugazi Municipal UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lugazi Municipal
0-0
AWAY Express
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 0
1 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lugazi Municipal vs Express
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lugazi Municipal and Express played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Lugazi Municipal at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Lugazi Municipal had 50% of the ball to Express's 50%, shots finished 10-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Lugazi Municipal had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lugazi Municipal and 0.00 for Express.

What was the final score of Lugazi Municipal vs Express?

Lugazi Municipal 0-0 Express in the Uganda - Premier League on 20/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lugazi Municipal vs Express?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lugazi Municipal win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Lugazi Municipal 45%, draw 29%, Express 26%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Lugazi Municipal) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lugazi Municipal) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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