SC Villa 2-1 NEC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 20 Nov 2025

SC Villa
2-1 HT 0-0
NEC
📅20/11/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.9
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
Over 2.5
36%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.19
No
53%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
16%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-5.6pp
32%
Draw
28%
+3.8pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.3pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SC Villa EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY NEC EU Bookmakers 27%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.04/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.03
-29% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +0%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
270 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SC Villa
1W-0D-1L
AWAY NEC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.09.2025 NEC NEC 0-2 HT 0-1 SC Villa SC Villa UGS8
29.11.2024 NEC NEC 2-1 HT 0-0 SC Villa SC Villa UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SC Villa
2-1
AWAY NEC
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH SC Villa vs NEC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SC Villa squeezed past NEC 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had SC Villa as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, SC Villa had 49% of the ball to NEC's 51%, shots finished 8-7.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for SC Villa and 1.00 for NEC.

What was the final score of SC Villa vs NEC?

SC Villa 2-1 NEC in the Uganda - Premier League on 20/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SC Villa vs NEC?

Before kick-off our model rated a SC Villa win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split SC Villa 43%, draw 32%, NEC 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SC Villa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (SC Villa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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