19/07/2024
·
19:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
2-1
Köln vs Sint-Truiden Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 56% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH
Home Win
Over 2.5
BTTS Yes
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
47%
Home Win
51%
28%
Draw
22%
25%
Away Win
26%
44%
Under 2.5
30%
56%
Over 2.5
70%
54%
BTTS Yes
68%
46%
BTTS No
32%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Köln v Sint-Truiden — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Köln
The Market 56%
Head to Head
AWAY
Sint-Truiden
The Market 30%
+35% /
+35%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
+17%
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
53%
Ball Possession
47%
14
Total Shots
9
6
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
4
375 · 82%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
320 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Köln 3-0 Sint-Truiden — Actual Match Statistics
RESULT
Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME
Köln
3-0
AWAY
Sint-Truiden
53%
Ball Possession
47%
18
Total Shots
3
9
Shots on Target
2
6
Corners
0
POST-MATCH
Köln vs Sint-Truiden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Köln swept aside Sint-Truiden 3-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Köln as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
On the day, Köln had 53% of the ball to Sint-Truiden's 47%, shots finished 18-3.
What was the final score of Köln vs Sint-Truiden?
Köln 3-0 Sint-Truiden in the Friendlies on 19/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Köln vs Sint-Truiden?
Before kick-off our model rated a Köln win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Köln 47%, draw 28%, Sint-Truiden 25%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Köln), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Köln)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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HAZ
More Friendlies
19 Jul 2024