Liversedge 1-0 Guiseley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 19 Jul 2024

📅19/07/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
4.04
Draw
31%
3.94
Away
39%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
2.29
Over
46%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
40%
4-5
20%
6+
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
30%
Home Win
21%
+8.8pp
31%
Draw
22%
+8.6pp
39%
Away Win
57%
-17.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
40%
+14.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
60%
-14.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.6pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liversedge The Market 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Guiseley The Market 61%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
291 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 432 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liversedge
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Guiseley
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.04.2023 Guiseley Guiseley 1-0 HT 0-0 Liversedge İNGNLP
26.11.2022 Liversedge 2-1 HT 1-1 Guiseley Guiseley İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Liversedge vs Guiseley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liversedge edged past Guiseley 1-0.

Our pre-match split (30% / 31% / 39%) promised a tight game; Liversedge found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Liversedge and 1.00 for Guiseley.

What was the final score of Liversedge vs Guiseley?

Liversedge 1-0 Guiseley in the Friendlies on 19/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liversedge vs Guiseley?

Before kick-off our model rated an Guiseley win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Liversedge 30%, draw 31%, Guiseley 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Guiseley), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Guiseley) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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