Nottingham Forest 1-1 Sunderland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 19 Jul 2024

Nottingham Forest
1-1 HT 0-1
Sunderland
📅19/07/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Friendlies – 2024/2025

Nottingham Forest vs Sunderland Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.61
Draw
29%
3.94
Away
29%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.23
Over 2.5
48%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
4.51
2-3 Goals
38%
1.9
4-5 Goals
23%
2.91
6+ Goals
9%
8.41
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.51 — our 30% vs market 17.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.05
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.3
X/1
9%
3.99
X/2
7%
9.99
X/X
16%
6.17
2/1
9%
20.55
2/2
15%
7.15
2/X
7%
15.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
58%
-16.3pp
29%
Draw
22%
+6.7pp
30%
Away Win
20%
+9.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.9pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nottingham Forest v Sunderland — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nottingham Forest EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Sunderland EU Bookmakers 23%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +40% / +40%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/0.08
-100% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +150%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
443 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Nottingham Forest vs Sunderland Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nottingham Forest
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Sunderland
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.93 xG 0.05
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
441 Passes 272
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
30.12.2017 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 0-1 HT 0-1 Sunderland Sunderland İNCL
12.09.2017 Sunderland Sunderland 0-1 HT 0-0 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNCL
27.08.2008 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 1-1 HT 0-0 Sunderland Sunderland İNLK
28.12.2004 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 1-2 HT 0-0 Sunderland Sunderland İNCL
14.09.2004 Sunderland Sunderland 2-0 HT 2-0 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNCL
10.01.2004 Sunderland Sunderland 1-0 HT 1-0 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNCL

Nottingham Forest 1-1 Sunderland — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nottingham Forest
1-1
AWAY Sunderland
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Nottingham Forest vs Sunderland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nottingham Forest and Sunderland couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Nottingham Forest at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Nottingham Forest had 54% of the ball to Sunderland's 46%, shots finished 10-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sunderland led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Nottingham Forest and 1.17 for Sunderland.

What was the final score of Nottingham Forest vs Sunderland?

Nottingham Forest 1-1 Sunderland in the Friendlies on 19/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nottingham Forest vs Sunderland?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nottingham Forest win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Nottingham Forest 42%, draw 29%, Sunderland 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Nottingham Forest), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nottingham Forest) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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