Rheindorf Altach 1-1 Freiburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 19 Jul 2024

📅19/07/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
3.29
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
39%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.56
No
51%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.32
2-3 Goals
38%
1.88
4-5 Goals
22%
2.98
6+ Goals
11%
8.96
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.32 — our 29% vs market 18.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
27%
+9.9pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.2pp
39%
Away Win
49%
-9.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-11.5pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rheindorf Altach EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Freiburg EU Bookmakers 52%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
1.31/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.74/1.00
+1% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +73% / +29%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
318 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Rheindorf Altach vs Freiburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rheindorf Altach and Freiburg couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 24% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

What was the final score of Rheindorf Altach vs Freiburg?

Rheindorf Altach 1-1 Freiburg in the Friendlies on 19/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rheindorf Altach vs Freiburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Freiburg win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Rheindorf Altach 37%, draw 24%, Freiburg 39%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Freiburg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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