Croydon Kings 2-2 Adelaide City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 19 Jul 2025

📅19/07/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
28%
2.29
Over 2.5
72%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.46
No
35%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
38%
-3.9pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.5pp
39%
Away Win
38%
+0.2pp
28%
Under 2.5
40%
-12.0pp
72%
Over 2.5
60%
+12.0pp
65%
BTTS Yes
64%
+0.4pp
35%
BTTS No
36%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Croydon Kings EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Adelaide City EU Bookmakers 43%
+11% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -21%
2.06/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/2.00
+23% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -27%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
260 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Croydon Kings
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Adelaide City
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.04.2025 Adelaide City Adelaide City 2-1 HT 1-0 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings AVNPL
27.07.2024 Adelaide City Adelaide City 4-0 HT 2-0 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings AVNPL
04.05.2024 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings 1-0 HT 1-0 Adelaide City Adelaide City AVNPL
11.08.2023 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings 1-0 HT 0-0 Adelaide City Adelaide City AVNPL
06.05.2023 Adelaide City Adelaide City 1-1 HT 1-1 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings AVNPL
04.06.2022 Adelaide City Adelaide City 1-0 HT 0-0 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings AVNPL
POST-MATCH Croydon Kings vs Adelaide City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Croydon Kings and Adelaide City couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (72%), both teams to score (65%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Adelaide City led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Croydon Kings and 1.33 for Adelaide City.

What was the final score of Croydon Kings vs Adelaide City?

Croydon Kings 2-2 Adelaide City in the Australia - National Premier League on 19/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Croydon Kings vs Adelaide City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Adelaide City win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Croydon Kings 34%, draw 27%, Adelaide City 39%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Adelaide City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Adelaide City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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