Croydon Kings 1-0 Adelaide City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 4 May 2024

Croydon Kings
1-0 HT 1-0
Adelaide City
📅04/05/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Australia - National Premier League – 2024

Croydon Kings vs Adelaide City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
33%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.15
Over 2.5
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.55
No
42%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.0pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.9pp
33%
Away Win
39%
-5.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+3.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-3.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.3pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Croydon Kings v Adelaide City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Croydon Kings EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Adelaide City EU Bookmakers 43%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -12%
2.13/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.22
+36% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +17%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
268 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.5

Croydon Kings vs Adelaide City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Croydon Kings
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Adelaide City
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.08.2023 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings 1-0 HT 0-0 Adelaide City Adelaide City AVNPL
06.05.2023 Adelaide City Adelaide City 1-1 HT 1-1 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings AVNPL
04.06.2022 Adelaide City Adelaide City 1-0 HT 0-0 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings AVNPL
25.02.2022 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings 0-0 Adelaide City Adelaide City AVNPL
18.09.2021 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings 1-1 HT 0-0 Adelaide City Adelaide City AVNPL
03.07.2021 Adelaide City Adelaide City 1-1 HT 1-0 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings AVNPL
POST-MATCH Croydon Kings vs Adelaide City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Croydon Kings nicked a narrow win over Adelaide City 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 30% / 33% — and on the day Croydon Kings made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Croydon Kings and 0.67 for Adelaide City.

What was the final score of Croydon Kings vs Adelaide City?

Croydon Kings 1-0 Adelaide City in the Australia - National Premier League on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Croydon Kings vs Adelaide City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Croydon Kings win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Croydon Kings 37%, draw 30%, Adelaide City 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Croydon Kings) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Croydon Kings) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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